Thursday, November 24, 2016

The VIX Is Too Low

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The VIX is near its lows, but many fundamental risk catalysts are upcoming.

The Fed and the ECB both have important meetings in December that could turn more hawkish than markets expect.

There are other events including a new presidency and policies that could rattle markets. The VIX looks too low.

We pointed out ahead of Brexit that the VIX was a "mismatch" when compared to coming risk events. We have a similar build up of risks currently yet the VIX is on the mat. Risk is not currently priced into markets. We prefer to take the other side of that trade and expect markets dohave risk ahead.

Source: Interactive Brokers (VIX)



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